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Red64
235830.1
4827.6
665114.8
Blue86
206215.7
21517.1
173243.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5170204060801001206486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2358
#14
30.10.9
21.021.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End12.6
blue by 13.7
43.71.5
46.948.4
Auto12.9
Teleop22.7
End8.1
Second
48
#12
27.60.9
17.718.6
Auto9.5
Teleop13.4
End4.7
red by 11.9
2062
#31
15.71.5
11.713.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End5.0
Third
6651
#30
14.80.9
11.512.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End1.0
red by 7.7
2151
#35
7.12.5
4.57.0
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsEarned