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Red26
1014.1
47025.9
222021.7
Blue17
809610.9
464510.8
21517.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42340102030506070802617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#24
21.70.8
24.223.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End9.4
red by 10.8
8096
#37
10.91.1
13.312.2
Auto5.3
Teleop2.4
End3.2
Second
4702
#44
5.91.4
8.67.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.4
blue by 4.8
4645
#38
10.81.1
12.611.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.6
End4.3
Third
101
#46
4.11.4
5.64.3
Auto2.2
Teleop0.0
End1.9
blue by 3.0
2151
#35
7.11.8
7.05.2
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed