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Red101
178131.2
245140.7
162518.5
Blue86
756015.4
638127.7
4827.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9845020608012014010186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.8
39.340.1
Auto13.3
Teleop21.4
End6.0
red by 13.0
27.72.2
27.029.3
Auto8.7
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Second
1781
#10
31.20.8
29.129.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End10.1
red by 3.5
48
#12
27.62.2
17.319.6
Auto9.5
Teleop13.4
End4.7
Third
1625
#13
18.50.8
17.117.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End3.7
red by 3.1
7560
#20
15.43.7
4.38.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
76%Cargo oddsEarned41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsEarned