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Qual 372022 Midwest Regional
Red46
21517.1
812217.5
593416.9
Blue43
555314.0
31103.7
638127.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415102060801004643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#23
17.50.4
18.0→18.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.2
End3.5
blue by 10.1
6381
#9
27.70.2
29.3→29.0
Auto8.7
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Second
5934
#26
16.90.7
16.6→17.3
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End8.9
red by 2.9
5553
#28
14.00.4
12.5→12.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End4.6
Third
2151
#35
7.10.7
5.2→5.9
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.2
End3.8
red by 3.4
3110
#45
3.70.4
4.5→4.1
Auto3.0
Teleop0.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsEarned