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Red75
206215.7
178131.2
478710.9
Blue102
233840.5
593416.9
306136.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50982040608012014016075102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#10
31.21.2
29.931.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End10.1
blue by 9.4
40.51.1
39.040.1
Auto11.4
Teleop15.2
End13.9
Second
2062
#31
15.71.2
13.614.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End5.0
blue by 20.6
36.41.1
29.630.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.9
End9.8
Third
4787
#16
10.91.2
9.210.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End3.6
blue by 6.0
5934
#26
16.91.8
17.319.1
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsEarned72%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsEarned