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Qual 452022 Midwest Regional
Red59
756015.4
555314.0
812217.5
Blue84
429210.4
11224.9
173243.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358902060801001201405984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#23
17.51.3
18.5→19.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.2
End3.5
blue by 26.2
1732
#2
43.70.5
48.0→48.5
Auto12.9
Teleop22.7
End8.1
Second
7560
#20
15.42.1
9.5→11.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End8.5
blue by 9.5
112
#7
24.90.8
18.5→19.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End5.6
Third
5553
#28
14.02.1
12.2→14.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End4.6
red by 3.7
4292
#29
10.40.8
10.3→11.1
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed78%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned