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Red66
335213.0
638127.7
173910.3
Blue70
665114.8
11224.9
756015.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53460204060801006670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.6
27.828.4
Auto8.7
Teleop14.9
End4.1
red by 2.8
112
#7
24.92.9
19.322.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End5.6
Second
3352
#33
13.01.0
12.013.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End3.2
blue by 2.4
7560
#20
15.42.9
11.614.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End8.5
Third
1739
#41
10.30.6
8.89.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.9
End1.7
blue by 4.5
6651
#30
14.81.7
13.415.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsEarned41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsEarned