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Qual 522022 Midwest Regional
Red40
4827.6
21517.1
802911.1
Blue41
746021.8
478710.9
809610.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404902060801004041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#12
27.60.2
22.8→22.6
Auto9.5
Teleop13.4
End4.7
red by 5.8
7460
#6
21.80.3
21.9→21.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End8.4
Second
8029
#22
11.10.2
10.4→10.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End3.8
red by 0.2
8096
#37
10.90.3
12.4→12.2
Auto5.3
Teleop2.4
End3.2
Third
2151
#35
7.10.3
5.2→5.0
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.2
End3.8
blue by 3.8
4787
#16
10.90.3
10.5→10.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsMissed