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Red58
283030.0
665114.8
202210.5
Blue70
593416.9
756015.4
582219.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5657304050607080905870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#18
30.00.3
27.627.9
Auto10.0
Teleop16.1
End3.9
red by 10.1
5822
#21
19.90.8
19.720.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End8.7
Second
6651
#30
14.80.3
15.115.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End1.0
blue by 2.1
5934
#26
16.91.4
19.220.6
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End8.9
Third
2022
#34
10.50.3
10.210.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End4.0
blue by 4.8
7560
#20
15.41.3
14.415.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsEarned