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Red64
812217.5
809610.9
235830.1
Blue47
306712.5
512512.3
593416.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51290204060801006447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2358
#14
30.11.4
19.521.0
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End12.6
red by 13.2
5934
#26
16.91.5
11.212.7
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End8.9
Second
8122
#23
17.51.4
13.414.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.2
End3.5
red by 5.0
3067
#25
12.51.0
9.210.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.6
Third
8096
#37
10.91.3
11.713.0
Auto5.3
Teleop2.4
End3.2
blue by 1.4
5125
#32
12.31.1
9.210.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed