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Red79
88689.8
584728.8
348819.5
Blue43
47025.9
369523.3
756015.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5744020807943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.8
27.229.0
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End12.0
red by 5.5
3695
#17
23.30.0
21.821.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End8.5
Second
3488
#15
19.52.8
18.921.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End6.6
red by 4.1
7560
#20
15.40.0
15.715.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End8.5
Third
8868
#36
9.82.6
5.78.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End0.9
red by 3.9
4702
#44
5.90.0
5.35.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsMissed