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Red78
11224.9
283030.0
21517.1
Blue28
582219.9
67713.3
464510.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63492040801007828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#18
30.01.3
29.230.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.1
End3.9
red by 10.1
5822
#21
19.91.3
21.219.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End8.7
Second
112
#7
24.91.9
23.325.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End5.6
red by 11.6
677
#40
13.31.3
14.613.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Third
2151
#35
7.11.8
5.37.1
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.2
End3.8
blue by 3.7
4645
#38
10.81.3
12.110.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsEarned21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned42%Hangar oddsMissed