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Red78
42417.8
369523.3
178131.2
Blue57
235830.1
47025.9
478710.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6647204060801007857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#10
31.21.3
30.832.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End10.1
red by 1.1
2358
#14
30.10.4
30.530.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End12.6
Second
3695
#17
23.31.3
21.923.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End8.5
red by 12.4
4787
#16
10.90.4
10.510.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End3.6
Third
4241
#43
7.81.3
6.57.8
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.5
End5.1
red by 1.8
4702
#44
5.90.6
5.35.9
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsEarned