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Qual 782022 Midwest Regional
Red81
306712.5
584728.8
306136.4
Blue86
162518.5
11149.8
555314.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809040601001201408186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#5
36.40.3
34.9→35.3
Auto9.6
Teleop16.9
End9.8
blue by 13.5
111
#4
49.80.2
49.9→50.1
Auto15.5
Teleop21.3
End13.0
Second
5847
#8
28.80.3
29.0→29.3
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End12.0
red by 10.3
1625
#13
18.50.2
18.8→19.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End3.7
Third
3067
#25
12.50.3
12.2→12.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.6
blue by 1.5
5553
#28
14.00.3
14.4→14.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
76%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsMissed