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Red49
414327.6
33815.3
453115.9
Blue87
11144.6
30679.2
369521.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32500204060801004987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#10
27.61.4
14.716.2
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End7.5
blue by 17.0
111
#1
44.64.2
20.124.3
Auto14.6
Teleop16.8
End13.1
Second
4531
#19
15.91.4
9.010.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End6.9
blue by 6.0
21.94.2
12.416.7
Auto6.8
Teleop9.0
End6.1
Third
3381
#38
5.31.4
8.39.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 4.0
3067
#32
9.24.2
12.316.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned