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Red34
203913.8
204016.8
42416.7
Blue73
173617.3
233835.4
582215.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324701020406070803473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2040
#13
16.80.7
11.911.2
Auto6.6
Teleop6.5
End3.6
blue by 18.6
35.43.4
16.519.9
Auto12.1
Teleop10.1
End13.2
Second
2039
#29
13.80.7
10.69.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End0.5
blue by 3.5
1736
#18
17.33.4
14.317.7
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Third
4241
#34
6.70.7
9.68.9
Auto2.4
Teleop0.8
End3.6
blue by 9.1
5822
#23
15.83.4
11.815.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsEarned