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Red70
710326.1
306122.8
414327.6
Blue30
812213.4
64811.4
203913.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5941020801007030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#10
27.61.9
17.419.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End7.5
red by 13.8
2039
#29
13.81.6
14.112.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Second
26.11.9
18.019.9
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End3.1
red by 12.7
8122
#22
13.41.6
15.313.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.4
Third
22.81.9
17.319.3
Auto8.2
Teleop10.0
End4.6
red by 11.3
648
#30
11.41.6
11.39.6
Auto6.3
Teleop3.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsEarned33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed