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Red38
173617.3
80969.6
178123.5
Blue68
175642.0
54426.3
369521.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48700204060801001201401603868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#14
23.51.1
18.517.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End5.7
blue by 18.6
42.00.1
35.035.1
Auto8.6
Teleop27.4
End6.0
Second
1736
#18
17.31.1
17.616.4
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End2.0
blue by 4.6
21.90.1
17.918.0
Auto6.8
Teleop9.0
End6.1
Third
8096
#36
9.61.1
12.211.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.0
red by 3.3
5442
#37
6.30.1
10.010.1
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsMissed