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Red38
64811.4
80298.5
54426.3
Blue86
171612.9
11144.6
203913.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32730204060801001203886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
#30
11.40.3
13.413.7
Auto6.3
Teleop3.2
End2.0
blue by 33.1
111
#1
44.62.6
36.639.2
Auto14.6
Teleop16.8
End13.1
Second
8029
#33
8.50.3
11.211.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End2.2
blue by 5.3
2039
#29
13.82.6
11.414.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Third
5442
#37
6.30.3
10.711.0
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End1.6
blue by 6.6
1716
#35
12.92.6
14.917.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed62%Hangar oddsEarned