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Qual 352022 Central Illinois Regional
Red40
369521.9
761914.3
409612.7
Blue27
278318.2
582215.8
80969.6
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4553204060801004027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3695
#9
21.91.7
20.6→18.9
Auto6.8
Teleop9.0
End6.1
red by 3.7
2783
#20
18.22.4
19.7→17.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End4.4
Second
7619
#21
14.31.7
12.1→10.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End3.6
blue by 1.5
5822
#23
15.82.4
16.0→13.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End5.7
Third
4096
#27
12.71.7
10.9→9.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End3.5
red by 3.1
8096
#36
9.62.4
13.2→10.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsMissed