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Red119
233835.4
421326.9
369521.9
Blue54
464514.6
306122.8
465522.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795320406010012011954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.44.9
31.336.2
Auto12.1
Teleop10.1
End13.2
red by 12.6
22.80.1
18.618.7
Auto8.2
Teleop10.0
End4.6
Second
26.94.9
20.525.4
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End10.3
red by 4.6
4655
#12
22.30.1
21.821.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End5.5
Third
21.94.9
18.923.8
Auto6.8
Teleop9.0
End6.1
red by 7.3
4645
#26
14.60.1
12.812.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsMissed