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Red41
30679.2
665112.3
178123.5
Blue68
64811.4
421326.9
204016.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5055204060801004168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#14
23.50.6
23.823.2
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End5.7
blue by 3.4
26.91.5
24.626.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End10.3
Second
6651
#31
12.30.6
13.012.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.3
blue by 4.4
2040
#13
16.81.5
14.616.1
Auto6.6
Teleop6.5
End3.6
Third
3067
#32
9.20.6
11.010.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End-0.0
blue by 2.2
648
#30
11.41.5
11.813.3
Auto6.3
Teleop3.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned24%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsEarned