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Red59
450022.4
761914.3
784814.1
Blue89
233835.4
465522.3
414327.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46972060801201405989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#17
22.40.8
22.723.5
Auto8.9
Teleop8.8
End4.7
blue by 13.0
35.40.4
37.938.3
Auto12.1
Teleop10.1
End13.2
Second
7619
#21
14.30.8
12.813.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End3.6
blue by 13.3
4143
#10
27.60.4
23.123.5
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End7.5
Third
7848
#25
14.10.8
14.215.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End3.5
blue by 8.2
4655
#12
22.30.4
23.624.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed65%Hangar oddsEarned