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Red100
306122.8
175642.0
235819.5
Blue51
278318.2
453115.9
173617.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95522040608012014010051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.8
40.341.1
Auto8.6
Teleop27.4
End6.0
red by 23.8
2783
#20
18.20.3
20.119.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End4.4
Second
22.80.8
22.523.3
Auto8.2
Teleop10.0
End4.6
red by 5.5
1736
#18
17.30.3
18.117.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Third
2358
#16
19.50.8
20.621.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End9.4
red by 3.7
4531
#19
15.90.3
16.115.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsMissed