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Red123
394037.0
286710.0
220242.9
Blue102
414339.2
17112.7
11151.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93113050150200123102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.0
42.942.9
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End7.7
blue by 8.9
111
#4
51.80.0
51.851.8
Auto15.3
Teleop27.9
End8.6
Second
37.00.0
37.037.0
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End10.8
blue by 2.2
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End9.0
Third
2867
#20
10.00.0
10.010.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End3.3
blue by 2.8
171
#31
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End2.6