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Red103
394037.0
286710.0
220242.9
Blue36
593416.9
46129.1
512512.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10256015020010336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.0
42.942.9
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End7.7
red by 13.8
461
#18
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End10.8
Second
37.00.0
37.037.0
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End10.8
red by 20.1
5934
#14
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End8.9
Third
2867
#20
10.00.0
10.010.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End3.3
blue by 2.3
5125
#12
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End3.8