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Red103
11151.8
17112.7
414339.2
Blue54
427235.5
162523.1
97368.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1186405010015010354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#4
51.80.0
51.851.8
Auto15.3
Teleop27.9
End8.6
red by 16.3
4272
#13
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
Second
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End9.0
red by 16.1
1625
#15
23.10.0
23.123.1
Auto6.9
Teleop11.5
End4.6
Third
171
#31
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End2.6
red by 4.6
9736
#28
8.10.0
8.18.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.4