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Red54
167519.9
11224.9
203920.3
Blue64
512512.3
54429.8
584728.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725201001502005464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112
#23
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End5.6
blue by 4.0
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End12.0
Second
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.6
End1.7
red by 7.9
5125
#12
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End3.8
Third
1675
#11
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto7.4
Teleop7.2
End5.3
red by 10.0
5442
#29
9.80.0
9.89.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo odds30%Cargo odds
Hangar
58%Hangar odds63%Hangar odds