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Red44
409620.3
512512.3
17112.7
Blue89
130620.7
394037.0
179220.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions428901001504489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#25
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.3
End5.7
blue by 16.7
37.00.0
37.037.0
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End10.8
Second
171
#31
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End2.6
blue by 7.9
1306
#22
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End5.2
Third
5125
#12
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End3.8
blue by 8.0
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo odds74%Cargo odds
Hangar
51%Hangar odds60%Hangar odds