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Red70
593416.9
245137.8
167519.9
Blue28
173632.5
130620.7
427235.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77970501502007028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto12.4
Teleop19.3
End6.2
red by 2.4
4272
#13
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
Second
1675
#11
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto7.4
Teleop7.2
End5.3
blue by 12.6
1736
#21
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto9.1
Teleop20.4
End3.1
Third
5934
#14
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End8.9
blue by 3.8
1306
#22
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo odds90%Cargo odds
Hangar
76%Hangar odds35%Hangar odds