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Red100
233832.5
93025.9
175645.0
Blue104
54429.4
170651.0
306136.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108110708090100120130140150100104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.00.1
45.045.0
Auto8.2
Teleop29.0
End8.0
blue by 5.9
51.00.0
52.252.2
Auto13.3
Teleop33.4
End4.2
Second
2338
#22
32.50.1
32.532.4
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End8.8
blue by 3.8
36.20.0
37.437.4
Auto9.1
Teleop20.4
End6.8
Third
930
#17
25.90.1
25.925.9
Auto9.2
Teleop10.7
End5.9
red by 16.5
5442
#28
9.40.0
10.610.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.2
End2.8