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Red58
71174.5
319734.4
99867.8
Blue112
175645.0
999628.9
418716.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4380010015020025058112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#10
34.40.5
36.136.6
Auto7.0
Teleop17.6
End9.8
blue by 10.6
45.02.3
45.347.7
Auto8.2
Teleop29.0
End8.0
Second
9986
#30
7.80.9
7.98.8
Auto0.3
Teleop5.0
End1.5
blue by 21.2
28.93.9
16.820.7
Auto6.2
Teleop18.1
End3.7
Third
7117
#32
4.50.5
6.06.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End-1.0
blue by 11.5
4187
#14
16.02.3
15.017.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned70%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsEarned