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Red58
54429.4
584730.9
71174.5
Blue88
319734.4
642139.2
765714.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371070501502005888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#15
30.90.8
29.029.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End12.6
blue by 8.2
39.20.2
39.239.0
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End10.7
Second
5442
#28
9.40.8
6.97.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.2
End2.8
blue by 25.0
3197
#10
34.40.2
36.636.4
Auto7.0
Teleop17.6
End9.8
Third
7117
#32
4.50.8
6.57.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End-1.0
blue by 9.6
7657
#27
14.10.2
15.215.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned79%Hangar oddsEarned