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Red100
642139.2
170651.0
409613.9
Blue78
432933.5
162516.9
175645.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11210905015020010078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.3
49.649.3
Auto13.3
Teleop33.4
End4.2
red by 5.9
45.01.9
47.345.5
Auto8.2
Teleop29.0
End8.0
Second
39.20.3
39.038.7
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End10.7
red by 5.7
33.51.9
35.733.8
Auto9.1
Teleop20.4
End4.0
Third
4096
#23
13.90.3
15.715.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End3.8
blue by 3.0
1625
#16
16.91.9
18.817.0
Auto6.1
Teleop6.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsMissed81%Hangar oddsEarned