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Red45
657424.4
99904.9
765714.1
Blue117
999628.9
414337.9
641917.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4568010015020045117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6574
#26
24.40.1
26.826.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End9.2
blue by 13.6
4143
#20
37.93.3
33.436.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.9
End9.2
Second
7657
#27
14.10.1
14.014.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.6
End3.8
blue by 14.8
28.95.4
21.927.3
Auto6.2
Teleop18.1
End3.7
Third
9990
#31
4.90.1
5.04.9
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.9
End2.5
blue by 12.1
6419
#25
17.03.3
12.916.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsEarned