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Red84
641917.0
33978.7
642139.2
Blue96
999628.9
248141.8
173630.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611040501502002508496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.21.3
38.740.0
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End10.7
blue by 2.6
2481
#13
41.80.3
42.241.9
Auto9.4
Teleop23.4
End9.2
Second
6419
#25
17.01.3
16.217.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End3.2
blue by 13.8
1736
#12
30.80.3
31.130.8
Auto10.1
Teleop18.6
End2.2
Third
3397
#19
8.71.3
6.17.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End3.0
blue by 20.2
28.90.5
27.326.8
Auto6.2
Teleop18.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed