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Red95
162516.9
173630.8
248141.8
Blue103
233832.5
93025.9
175645.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9611205015020025095103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#13
41.80.1
42.242.3
Auto9.4
Teleop23.4
End9.2
blue by 3.3
45.00.2
44.644.5
Auto8.2
Teleop29.0
End8.0
Second
1736
#12
30.80.1
31.231.3
Auto10.1
Teleop18.6
End2.2
blue by 1.7
2338
#22
32.50.2
32.131.9
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End8.8
Third
1625
#16
16.90.1
17.417.5
Auto6.1
Teleop6.7
End4.1
blue by 9.0
930
#17
25.90.2
25.525.3
Auto9.2
Teleop10.7
End5.9