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Red163
54429.4
306136.2
170651.0
Blue109
33978.7
414337.9
999628.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10966050150200250163109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.01.4
51.252.6
Auto13.3
Teleop33.4
End4.2
red by 13.0
4143
#20
37.90.8
37.838.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.9
End9.2
Second
36.21.4
36.537.8
Auto9.1
Teleop20.4
End6.8
red by 7.3
28.91.3
28.730.0
Auto6.2
Teleop18.1
End3.7
Third
5442
#28
9.41.4
9.210.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.2
End2.8
red by 0.7
3397
#19
8.70.8
8.08.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End3.0