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Red99
427235.5
394044.9
178131.2
Blue81
409620.3
582219.9
29236.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126740501001502009981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
Unranked
44.90.0
44.944.9
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End10.7
red by 8.8
292
Unranked
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto8.1
Teleop18.3
End9.7
Second
4272
Unranked
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
red by 15.1
4096
Unranked
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.3
End5.7
Third
1781
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End10.1
red by 11.3
5822
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo odds64%Cargo odds
Hangar
91%Hangar odds87%Hangar odds