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Red18
174114.3
90398.1
501022.5
Blue54
540217.6
13523.7
448513.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4661020801001201401601854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
Unranked
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.7
End7.0
blue by 1.2
135
Unranked
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End8.0
Second
1741
Unranked
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End9.1
blue by 3.3
5402
Unranked
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.3
End7.4
Third
9039
Unranked
8.10.0
8.18.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.4
blue by 5.5
4485
Unranked
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo odds21%Cargo odds
Hangar
59%Hangar odds37%Hangar odds