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Red16
13523.7
548429.3
409620.3
Blue57
745740.7
540217.6
695627.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76930501502001657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
Unranked
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto9.6
Teleop10.0
End9.7
blue by 11.4
7457
Unranked
40.70.0
40.740.7
Auto10.1
Teleop20.1
End10.5
Second
135
Unranked
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End8.0
blue by 3.3
6956
Unranked
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End10.9
Third
4096
Unranked
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.3
End5.7
red by 2.7
5402
Unranked
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.3
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo odds79%Cargo odds
Hangar
80%Hangar odds94%Hangar odds