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Red52
695627.0
427235.5
492627.3
Blue44
765716.2
178131.2
317626.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99750501505244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
Unranked
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
red by 4.3
1781
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End10.1
Second
4926
Unranked
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End8.2
red by 0.9
3176
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto10.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.4
Third
6956
Unranked
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End10.9
red by 10.8
7657
Unranked
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo odds87%Cargo odds
Hangar
88%Hangar odds54%Hangar odds