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Red110
427235.5
501028.0
649824.7
Blue85
150134.9
29236.1
172020.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9110105015020011085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.5
34.935.4
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
blue by 0.7
292
#8
36.10.2
36.836.6
Auto8.1
Teleop18.3
End9.7
Second
28.00.5
27.427.9
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End9.0
blue by 7.0
1501
#15
34.90.2
35.635.5
Auto6.1
Teleop17.9
End11.0
Third
6498
#14
24.70.5
24.224.7
Auto7.3
Teleop11.9
End5.5
red by 4.0
1720
#30
20.70.2
21.421.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End7.0