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Red81
82931.3
492631.8
761730.4
Blue65
695627.0
719829.4
349421.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107802040601201401601808165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.4
33.032.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End8.8
red by 2.4
7198
#10
29.40.4
29.829.4
Auto7.6
Teleop10.5
End11.2
Second
829
#6
31.30.4
32.532.2
Auto10.6
Teleop11.7
End9.0
red by 4.3
6956
#19
27.00.4
27.427.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End10.9
Third
7617
#13
30.40.4
31.531.2
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End6.6
red by 8.9
3494
#23
21.40.4
21.821.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.1
End4.6