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Red56
649824.7
811621.1
172020.7
Blue98
102431.1
101819.1
46129.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396902060801001205698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6498
#14
24.71.0
14.915.9
Auto7.3
Teleop11.9
End5.5
blue by 6.4
31.12.5
21.924.4
Auto8.5
Teleop14.1
End8.5
Second
8116
#28
21.11.0
10.211.2
Auto6.1
Teleop9.6
End5.4
blue by 8.0
461
#11
29.12.5
23.926.4
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End10.8
Third
1720
#30
20.71.0
15.616.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End7.0
red by 1.5
1018
#24
19.12.5
14.917.4
Auto6.3
Teleop6.5
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsMissed77%Hangar oddsEarned