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Red102
811621.1
317633.5
4523.8
Blue43
44719.9
695627.0
719829.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678005010015020025010243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.52.5
29.732.2
Auto10.1
Teleop20.8
End2.7
red by 4.1
7198
#10
29.42.0
29.027.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.5
End11.2
Second
45
#20
23.82.5
18.320.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.1
End7.5
blue by 3.2
6956
#19
27.02.0
25.923.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End10.9
Third
8116
#28
21.12.5
16.418.9
Auto6.1
Teleop9.6
End5.4
red by 1.2
447
#21
19.92.0
18.616.5
Auto6.7
Teleop5.8
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsMissed