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Red122
745748.5
44719.9
317633.5
Blue72
548434.0
150134.9
348721.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11199608012014016018012272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.51.0
49.850.8
Auto14.3
Teleop21.6
End12.6
red by 13.6
1501
#15
34.91.5
37.335.7
Auto6.1
Teleop17.9
End11.0
Second
33.51.0
34.735.7
Auto10.1
Teleop20.8
End2.7
blue by 0.5
5484
#29
34.01.5
38.637.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.2
End11.4
Third
447
#21
19.91.0
18.319.4
Auto6.7
Teleop5.8
End7.5
blue by 1.2
3487
#31
21.11.5
19.017.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned