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Red66
856415.2
86822.8
29236.1
Blue82
874216.0
492631.8
548434.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7696501506682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#8
36.10.5
37.637.0
Auto8.1
Teleop18.3
End9.7
red by 2.1
5484
#29
34.00.6
37.036.4
Auto7.5
Teleop15.2
End11.4
Second
868
#12
22.80.5
22.822.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End4.6
blue by 9.1
31.80.6
35.434.8
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End8.8
Third
8564
#25
15.20.5
13.813.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.7
End4.7
blue by 0.7
8742
#17
16.00.6
15.214.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
58%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned71%Hangar oddsEarned