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Red71
174112.5
23424.8
492631.8
Blue105
745748.5
649824.7
13523.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7410120406012014016018071105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.2
34.833.6
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End8.8
blue by 16.7
7457
#4DQ
48.50.7
50.951.5
Auto14.3
Teleop21.6
End12.6
Second
234
#16
24.81.2
24.923.8
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End7.0
red by 0.1
6498
#14
24.70.7
22.723.3
Auto7.3
Teleop11.9
End5.5
Third
1741
#32
12.51.2
12.911.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.2
End7.2
blue by 11.2
135
#18
23.70.7
17.718.3
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsMissed95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned