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Red78
649824.7
317633.5
174112.5
Blue72
46129.1
29236.1
874216.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7395501507872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.5
36.136.5
Auto10.1
Teleop20.8
End2.7
blue by 2.6
292
#8
36.11.0
37.937.0
Auto8.1
Teleop18.3
End9.7
Second
6498
#14
24.70.5
23.323.8
Auto7.3
Teleop11.9
End5.5
blue by 4.4
461
#11
29.11.0
32.231.2
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End10.8
Third
1741
#32
12.50.5
11.812.2
Auto2.1
Teleop3.2
End7.2
blue by 3.5
8742
#17
16.01.0
16.415.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsEarned66%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed92%Hangar oddsMissed